Saturday, 22 February 2014

Flooding forecast for this weekend

Please be aware of the undernoted severe weather warning for D & G for this coming Sunday
John Young.
Kirkmahoe Community Council
Click on the following for further info   Sepa floodline

Dear Community Councillor
Please see below information on the weekends weather which has been issued by the Met Office.
Samantha Briggs
Clerical Assistant
Community & Customer Services
Municipal Chambers
Buccleuch Street
Dumfries, DG1 2AD
'Int: 63410  Ext: 01387 245960
*Drop point: 300

From Met Office -
Good morning,
After what has been a rather welcome respite from any weather impacts in Scotland over the last week or so, we’re back into warnings territory over the weekend I’m afraid – still nothing too unusual for the time of year though-
In summary:
-        Showery day today (Friday) and Saturday morning. These sometimes heavy and more frequent across the north and west.
-        On Saturday afternoon, a band of persistent rain will affect much of the country for around a 24 hour period, clearing around Sunday lunchtime.
-        Yellow Warnings for Rain will be issued for western areas to cater for this rain on Saturday and Sunday
-        Main impacts expected to be unpleasant driving conditions with spray and ponding water, also and combined with some snow melt, some minor river response can be expected across some areas. Please see the Flood Guidance Statement for more information.
In more detail:
Today will be a day of heavy showers across much of the country, with the potential for some more organised bands of showers to spread across the country at times. Above 400-500m these will fall as snow. These will be heaviest and most frequent over the north and west, where we could expect to see up to 20-30mm for areas that are affected by repeated showers.
Saturday morning will see some isolated showers, before a band of heavy rain moves in from the west just after lunchtime, quickly spreading to all parts by mid afternoon. This will initially be heaviest over areas to the north of the central belt, but by the early hours of Sunday, the heavy rain will spread further south as well. This will persist over most western and northern areas through to Sunday lunchtime, with the largest accumulations likely over higher ground exposed to the strong to gale force south-southwesterly winds.  
Over the highest areas 40-60mm of rain can be expected, with perhaps 15-30mm likely elsewhere. Some snow melt will become a factor as well, increasing the amount of water running into rivers and in some areas this is expected to result in some minor river response. Please see the Flood Guidance Statement for more information. More generally, though, the wet weather is going to make travelling conditions unpleasant, causing water to pond in known trouble spots and spray  an additional hazard.
This rain should clear to the south by around lunchtime on Sunday, leaving clearer conditions behind it, though there is a chance of catching the odd heavy shower. Another band of rain looks likely overnight Monday into Tuesday.
This morning, we have issued two Yellow (Be Aware) Warnings for Rain to cover the expected weather on Saturday and Sunday:
-        The first for a large part of Strathclyde, Stirlingshire, Perthshire and Highland valid from 1500 Saturday to 1500 Sunday
-        The second for a large part of Dumfries & Galloway, the western Borders and southern areas of South Lanarkshire and Ayrshire, valid 0015 Sunday to 0600 Monday. Although this is valid until 0600 Monday, the rain is expected to clear south of the border by early afternoon on Sunday.
Steven Wylie
Community Resilience Advisor
Safety & Resilience
43 Newall Terrace
t: 01387 260365 (external)
t: 64365 (internal)
m: 07824528410

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